Is This the End of the 4-Year Model or Just the Beginning of Something Bigger?
Welcome to the most anticipated moment in crypto since the last halving hype—Bitcoin is making major moves, but they might not be the ones everyone expected.
We’ve officially entered what some are calling “The Great Unwind.” The once-reliable 4-year cycle seems to be crumbling under the weight of macro shifts, hidden divergences, and momentum breakdowns across multiple timeframes. But is this chaos—or opportunity?
📉 The Setup: Bearish Signals Are Mounting
Bitcoin has broken below critical support levels, including its March lows, long considered a pivotal anchor for bullish structure. Stochastic momentum indicators on the daily, monthly, and even bi-monthly charts are flashing warning signs. The conclusion?
“The 4-year model might be done… it’s kaput. Something new is emerging.” — Analyst, CME breakdown
On the CME chart, Bitcoin must reclaim $86,000 to reverse this momentum. Below that? We’re in open waters.
🔮 Targets: How Low Can We Go?
Let’s talk bounce zones and potential bottoms:
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$67,000: Monthly 21 EMA – Probable bounce zone.
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$62,000: HPDR Band bottom – A likely catch level.
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$52,000: The Golden Zone – The bi-monthly 21 EMA, a historically strong support.
Each of these could offer short-term relief. But beware—these aren’t guaranteed bottoms, just bounce pads on a slippery slope.
🧠 RSI Divergence & Macro Shift
Bearish RSI divergences on monthly, bi-monthly, and quarterly charts further suggest that the top may already be in. This mirrors major market peaks of 2014, 2017, and 2021—but with a new twist.
The narrative? The 4-year crypto model is broken, and a new paradigm is on the horizon. The question is: Are you ready to decode it?
📊 Volatility Exploding
The BBWP (Bitcoin’s volatility index) is breaking past the 50% threshold, heading toward extremes (80–90%). Translation? More price action. More fireworks. More emotion.
And yes, while there will be big bounces… that doesn’t mean we’ve seen the worst yet.
📉 Altcoins Bleed With BTC
Altcoins are getting wrecked in tandem:
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Ethereum: Slipped below $1,500. Looks heavy.
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Solana: Could dip to $50–$60 range.
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Cardano, XRP, SUI: All showing signs of larger downturns with lower highs and breakdowns across quarterlies.
What was support is now resistance.
💥 Trading Strategy: Survive to Thrive
The Quantum Wave Bands indicator, despite recent losses, continues its long-term equity growth trajectory. If you’re new to trading or need structure, this might help you ride the wave instead of drowning in it.
Remember: This market rewards discipline, not hope.
💡 Final Thoughts: A New Era Dawns
“You can’t rely on old models anymore. A new pattern will emerge—and the skill will be identifying it early.” — Bitcoin Analyst
Yes, there’s fear. Yes, the charts look heavy. But where there’s volatility, there’s opportunity.
If you’re a long-term investor? These prices may look laughably low in 3–4 years.
If you’re a trader? Stay sharp, stay nimble, and trust your risk management.
❤️ Closing Words
Crypto’s never been for the faint of heart. But if history has taught us anything—it’s that the greatest opportunities arise when everyone else is scared.
Take care, stay safe, and prepare for what’s next.
Much love.
— Your favorite crypto narrator ✌️